![]() ![]() Marc Finn and Andres Waters contributed research. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. Read more »ĭesign and development by Jay Boice, Rachael Dottle, Ella Koeze and Gus Wezerek. 2023 Eastern Conference Finals vs Boston (4-3 WIN) 2023 2nd Round vs New York (4-2 WIN) 2023 1st Round vs Milwaukee (4-1 WIN) 2022 NBA Playoffs. Past Miami Heat Playoff Prediction Threads: 2023 NBA Playoffs. ![]() Elo ratings - which power the pure Elo forecast - are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Feel free to post your comments and predictions on the series, individual player stats, matchups, etc. ![]() A team’s current rating reflects any injuries and rest days in effect at the moment of the team's next game. A team’s full-strength rating assumes all of its key players are in the lineup. These are combined with up-to-date depth charts - tracking injuries, trades and other player transactions - to generate talent estimates for each team. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. They make it in as the final playoff spot, then win the NBA title, then sneak into draft lottery because of the record, then wins the lottery. How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. As approved by the NBA Board of Governors, we now know that the league intends to return on the tentative start date of June 31st with 22 teams participating. ![]()
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